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Prediction for CME (2022-06-19T21:53:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-06-19T21:53Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/20556/-1
CME Note: Visible in the NW in STEREO A COR2 and in the E in SOHO LASCO C2/C3. Overlaps with outflow from previous CME in SOHO imagery. May possibly be associated with filament eruption near N30E40, visible in STEREO A EUVI 195 beginning 2022-06-19T20:55Z and SDO AIA 131/171/193/304 beginning 2022-06-19T21:07Z. Some deflection in the SDO FOV. Very narrow event (perhaps 6-8 degrees half-width) and a very diffuse leading edge, apparently directed toward the narrow region between STEREO A and SOHO spacecraft. UPDATE (2022-06-23T13:00Z): The arrival of this CME at L1 may possibly have been detected by DSCOVR at 2022-06-22T11:27Z, but the magnetic signature is weak and the solar wind data inconclusive.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-06-22T12:48Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 45.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.5 - 5.5
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 46.23 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2022-06-20T14:34Z
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