|
|
Prediction for CME (2022-06-19T21:53:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2022-06-19T21:53ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/20556/-1 CME Note: Visible in the NW in STEREO A COR2 and in the E in SOHO LASCO C2/C3. Overlaps with outflow from previous CME in SOHO imagery. May possibly be associated with filament eruption near N30E40, visible in STEREO A EUVI 195 beginning 2022-06-19T20:55Z and SDO AIA 131/171/193/304 beginning 2022-06-19T21:07Z. Some deflection in the SDO FOV. Very narrow event (perhaps 6-8 degrees half-width) and a very diffuse leading edge, apparently directed toward the narrow region between STEREO A and SOHO spacecraft. UPDATE (2022-06-23T13:00Z): The arrival of this CME at L1 may possibly have been detected by DSCOVR at 2022-06-22T11:27Z, but the magnetic signature is weak and the solar wind data inconclusive. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-06-22T12:48Z Confidence that the CME will arrive: 45.0% Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.5 - 5.5 Prediction Method: Average of all Methods Prediction Method Note: This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -22328.13 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z |
|
CCMC
Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME
model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before
performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival
Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with
the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting
forecasters/researchers. Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Policy |